Advanced PPP Financial Modelling Training Course

This five-day advanced programme moves beyond base-case model building into refinancing structuring, distressed debt restructuring, multi-project portfolio modelling and real options analysis, using a live post-financial-close case study throughout.

Most PPP financial modelling training stops at financial close, but a model's toughest tests often come afterwards, when a refinancing is proposed, a lender syndicate needs restructuring, or a government wants to understand how a change of scope will ripple through gain-sharing calculations years into a concession. Practitioners who can only build a base case model are frequently sidelined at exactly the moment their judgement is needed most.

This course is designed for participants who already have working PPP or project finance modelling experience and are ready to move into the more demanding territory of refinancing gain share, distressed restructuring, multi-project portfolio modelling and real options analysis. It builds directly on foundational PPP financial modelling skills, using an advanced running case study that takes a project from a post-close refinancing event through to a full portfolio view across several concessions.

• Model refinancing transactions and calculate gain-sharing outcomes between government and sponsor.
• Structure a distressed debt restructuring, including standstill periods, waterfall amendments and covenant resets.
• Build a multi-project portfolio model to assess correlated risk across several concessions.
• Apply real options analysis to evaluate flexibility embedded in infrastructure investment decisions.
• Evaluate the impact of change-in-scope events on long-dated PPP cash flows.
• Design advanced sensitivity frameworks incorporating correlated and stress-linked variables.
• Assess secondary market transactions and equity transfer pricing within an operating PPP.
• Model inflation-linked debt and cross-currency structures within a single integrated model.
• Present advanced modelling outputs and restructuring recommendations to a credit committee.

This course is suitable for:

• Senior financial modellers and analysts with existing PPP or project finance modelling experience
• Project finance bankers managing refinancing and restructuring mandates
• PPP unit officials overseeing concessions approaching refinancing or renegotiation
• Infrastructure fund and asset management professionals assessing portfolio risk
• Corporate finance teams at infrastructure developers managing a multi-asset portfolio
• Advisory professionals leading restructuring or refinancing engagements
• Credit risk professionals assessing distressed infrastructure exposures

This programme is delivered through an advanced, hands-on approach centred on a live post-financial-close case study that evolves throughout the five days; from refinancing and covenant monitoring to restructuring and portfolio management. Participants will develop and test financial models through live Excel demonstrations, guided modelling exercises, peer model reviews and scenario analysis, culminating in a simulated credit committee where they present and defend strategic financing recommendations.

This training strengthens organisational capability to:

• Stronger in-house capability to lead refinancing negotiations without external advisers.
• Faster, more confident response when a concession requires restructuring.
• Improved ability to assess portfolio-level risk across a book of infrastructure assets.
• Better-informed decisions on secondary market transactions and equity transfers.
• Reduced financial and reputational risk from poorly modelled restructuring proposals.
• Stronger negotiating position with lenders and government counterparts during renegotiation.
• Improved consistency in how refinancing gain share is calculated and reported.
• Greater institutional resilience when concessions face macroeconomic or currency shocks.
• Enhanced credibility with credit committees, investment committees and boards.

Upon completion of this programme, participants will gain the knowledge and practical skills to:

• Build genuine command of refinancing and restructuring modelling techniques few practitioners hold.
• Strengthen credibility when presenting complex modelling outputs to senior credit committees.
• Gain confidence handling distressed or renegotiated transactions under pressure.
• Develop a transferable framework for portfolio-level infrastructure risk analysis.
• Sharpen judgement on when a model's assumptions are being manipulated under stress.
• Reduce reliance on external advisers for advanced modelling and restructuring work.
• Improve career mobility into senior project finance, restructuring and fund roles.
• Increase speed and accuracy when modelling under real transaction deadlines.
• Build a professional network of senior peers working on complex African infrastructure deals.

At Strategic Revenue Africa, our certification goes beyond proof of attendance—it represents practical competence and measurable capability. Upon successful completion of our training programs, participants are awarded a Certificate of Completion from Strategic Revenue Africa, recognizing their ability to apply acquired knowledge in real-world settings. As an organization focused on architecting sustainable revenue and strengthening organizational performance, our certifications signal that participants are equipped with skills that drive results, not just theory.

Participants should have completed a foundational PPP or project finance financial modelling course, or have equivalent handson modelling experience. Comfort building a three-statement model in Excel, including debt sizing and a cash waterfall, is assumed.